Guy Den Ouden vs Francisco Rocha Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Rocha has won 43.28% of points on their second serve, marginally outperforming Ouden's 41.91%. How does second-serve performance influence predictions? It often correlates strongly with match outcomes.
• Rocha excels slightly in returning opponent's second serves, winning 47.65% of the points compared to Ouden's 47.62%. Meanwhile, Ouden has a slight edge on first serve returns, at 29.44% versus Rocha's 28.9%.
• Both players demonstrate similar resilience under pressure; however, Ouden has a slight advantage, saving 48.97% of breakpoints compared to Rocha's 48.17%.
• Over the past year, Ouden outshines Rocha in winning percentage, with a significant 67.57% win rate against Rocha's 47.83%. Is this indicative of their overall form? It suggests Ouden's consistent performance.
• Rocha performs best on hard surfaces with a 53% win rate, while Ouden prefers clay, boasting a 71% win rate. Rocha's least favorite surface is indoor hard, and Ouden struggles on grass.
• The level of competition is a key factor; Rocha mostly competes in Futures/ITF $10K events, winning 51.43%, whereas Ouden plays in larger Challengers/ITF events, winning 69.09%.
• Ouden frequently faces tougher opponents with an average rank of 307.81, compared to Rocha's 456.07. What does opponent quality suggest? It highlights the intensity of Ouden’s matches.
• In deciding sets, Ouden tends to perform better, claiming victory in 50% of such matches compared to Rocha's 40% success rate.
• Rocha slightly edges out Ouden in break point conversion, with success on 38.26% of opportunities compared to Ouden’s 37.5%.

Editorial Prediction (August 28, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match showcases two players with distinct strengths and areas needing improvement. Rocha displays a slightly superior second serve performance alongside a consistent return game, hinting at resilience on the court. However, Ouden's competitive edge lies in a higher overall win percentage, coupled with better experience against stronger opponents.

While Rocha may capitalize on their hard court preference, Ouden's proficiency on clay and experience with higher-ranked competitors are notable advantages. The slight edge in serving under pressure and successful break point conversion makes Rocha a formidable contender in tight situations.

Nonetheless, given Ouden's stronger overall track record, recent match-winning trends, and experience level, they appear to hold a slight advantage in this matchup. Therefore, the most likely winner of the upcoming tennis match is Ouden.